Sharing and comparing my method for trying to beat the spread

I live in the Midwest which is Big Ten country. Once conference play starts virtually every Big Ten game is televised in my region and I commit myself to try and watch all of them. I have three televisions set up as some games are being played at the same time. I have no bias or affiliation to any Big Ten team as I am a lifelong Notre Dame fan (I include ND games in my viewing schedule as well). My comments and reports are qualified only by my love of the game and an extreme commitment to watching and following Big Ten football.

ATS STATS '14


My Record:  11-9

ATS  PLAY STANDINGS
LAST SATURDAY
TOTAL
FTC $
W
L
T
W
L
T
TOM DEINHART (btn)
2
2
0
14
10
0
$150
BRENT YARINA (btn)
3
0
0
12
9
0
$105
BRADEN GALL (athlon)
0
0
0
7
5
0
$75
STEVEN LASSAN (athlon)
0
1
0
7
5
0
$75
MITCH LIGHT (athlon)
1
0
0
8
7
0
$15
FROM THE COUCH
1
0
0
10
9
0
$5
SEAN MERRIMAN (btn)
3
0
0
11
12
0
-$110
KEVIN RYAN (247sports)
3
1
0
8
10
0
-$150
STAT RAT (pubhole)
0
0
0
7
10
0
-$200
DAVID FOX (athlon)
1
2
0
10
17
0
-$435




SPREAD RECORD
W
L
STRAIGHT UP
W
L
MITCH LIGHT (athlon)
33
25
FROM THE COUCH
42
15
SEAN MERRIMAN (btn)
30
28
KEVIN RYAN (247sports)
42
17
BRADEN GALL (athlon)
27
25
SEAN MERRIMAN (btn)
41
18
KEVIN RYAN (247sports)
30
29
STEVEN LASSAN (athlon)
41
18
TOM DEINHART (btn)
28
29
TOM DEINHART (btn)
40
19
BRENT YARINA (btn)
27
30
BRENT YARINA (btn)
40
19
FROM THE COUCH
26
31
MITCH LIGHT (athlon)
40
19
STEVEN LASSAN (athlon)
24
31
DAVID FOX (athlon)
38
21
STAT RAT (pubhole)
19
29
BRADEN GALL (athlon)
37
15
DAVID FOX (athlon)
21
36
STAT RAT (pubhole)
34
18
WITHIN 7
W
L
CLOSEST
W
L
KEVIN RYAN (247sports)
23
36
MITCH LIGHT (athlon)
28
30
FROM THE COUCH
20
39
KEVIN RYAN (247sports)
27
32
BRENT YARINA (btn)
20
39
STEVEN LASSAN (athlon)
24
31
SEAN MERRIMAN (btn)
20
39
FROM THE COUCH
24
32
MITCH LIGHT (athlon)
19
40
BRADEN GALL (athlon)
21
30
TOM DEINHART (btn)
18
41
SEAN MERRIMAN (btn)
22
34
STEVEN LASSAN (athlon)
18
41
BRENT YARINA (btn)
22
34
BRADEN GALL (athlon)
16
36
TOM DEINHART (btn)
20
37
DAVID FOX (athlon)
15
44
DAVID FOX (athlon)
20
37
STAT RAT (pubhole)
13
39
STAT RAT (pubhole)
16
32

SPREAD RECORD-Simply displays the ATS record.
STRAIGHT UP- The outright winner, disregarding the spread.
WITHIN 7-This category tracks how many times a predicted point spread was within seven points of the final score differential. Why does this matter? Because one can never lose in the play category if the prediction is within 7 points. 35 percent is about average in this category. Close to 50 percent is excellent.
CLOSEST - It’s possible to be on the correct side of the spread yet not be as accurate as the oddsmakers. EX: If I predict Michigan by 12, the spread is 6, and Michigan wins by 7, I get a win in the spread record category. I get a loss in the closest category because the spread (7-6=1) was closer than my prediction (12-7=5).

NOTRE DAME
I predict Notre Dame games along with the Big Ten conference games. Other than the occasions when Notre Dame plays a Big Ten team, these predictions aren’t included in the standings/comparisons as my competition doesn’t make predictions for Notre Dame vs non-Big Ten conference games. Listed below are my stats for Notre Dame games that aren’t included in the standings.

PLAYS
SPREAD RECORD
CLOSEST
WITHIN 7
STRAIGHT UP
W
L
T
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
1
0
0
3
4
3
4
4
4
6
2

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