I live in the Midwest which is Big Ten country. Once conference play starts virtually every Big Ten game is televised in my region and I commit myself to try and watch all of them. I have three televisions set up as some games are being played at the same time. I have no bias or affiliation to any Big Ten team as I am a lifelong Notre Dame fan (I include ND games in my viewing schedule as well). My comments and reports are qualified only by my love of the game and an extreme commitment to watching and following Big Ten football.

Monday, November 27, 2017


I went 3-0 last weekend.  A strong finish brought me close to .500 for this season. The 0-4 start killed me. My predictions and pre-game comments can be found on my previous post, dated 11-22 (ATS Predictions - Week 13).
My Current Overall Record:  9-10

Iowa 56  Nebraska 14
Closing Line: Iowa -3.5
FTC Prediction: Iowa 34 Nebraska 17
My ATS Pick: Iowa -3.5
Result: Win
Sometimes when I see such a discrepancy in my prediction and the Vegas line I become suspicious that I’ve overlooked something. If anything, I thought my predicted spread of 17 points might’ve been a little tight, and mentioned in my prediction write-up that this could be a blowout. It was.

Northwestern 42  Illinois 7
Closing Line: Northwestern -16.5
FTC Prediction: Northwestern 38 Illinois 14
My ATS Pick: Northwestern -16.5
Result: Win
I wasn’t too far off with my final score prediction. Northwestern wasn’t flat at all.

Ohio St. 31  Michigan 20
Closing Line: Ohio St. -12.5
FTC Prediction: Ohio St. 17 Michigan 13
My ATS Pick: Michigan +12.5
Result: Win
For a while there I thought Michigan was going to pull off the upset. But Michigan QB John O’Korn just isn’t made for high pressure situations. A critical interception late in the game made me have to sweat this one out.

Purdue 31  Indiana 24
Closing Line: Purdue -2.5
FTC Prediction: Purdue 17 Indiana 11
My ATS Pick: Pass
I had a strong feeling Saturday morning that Purdue was going to win this game and considered forcing a play. But I kept my discipline and didn’t. Would have paid off if I had. My predicted point spread was close to exact, but there was more scoring than I figured. Good game, but Purdue was undoubtedly the better team this day.

Michigan St. 40  Rutgers 7
Closing Line: Michigan St. -13.5
FTC Prediction: Michigan St. 23 Rutgers 7
My ATS Pick: Pass
I mentioned a blowout in my prediction write up and that’s what we got here. I expected a better effort out of Rutgers at home.

Penn St. 66  Maryland 3
Closing Line: Penn St. -22.5
FTC Prediction: Penn St. 35 Maryland 17
My ATS Pick: Pass
I don’t particularly like that they switched this game to rivalry week. I liked it better when Penn St. closed the season with Michigan St. and Maryland closed with Rutgers. Those games were two nice matchups more conducive to becoming a rivalry in my opinion.

Wisconsin 31  Minnesota 0
Closing Line: Wisconsin -17.5
FTC Prediction: Wisconsin 31 Minnesota 7
My ATS Pick: Pass
This is another game I almost forced. The line slipped out a half point beyond my “play” requirements and again, I kept my discipline. Almost hit the score exactly.

Previous posts:
Predictions Week 13